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Environmental Science: Water Research & Technology

Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Environmental Science: Water Research & Technology's content profile, based on 13 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Wastewater Surveillance of Oncogenic Viruses: A Baseline Assessment in Southeast Queensland, Australia

Keller, R.; Gebrewold, M.; Smith, W.; Verhagen, R.; Simpson, S.; Hoar, C.; Healy, H. G.; Ahmed, W.

2026-09-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.09.02.26362014 medRxiv
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Wastewater surveillance (WS) offers a non-invasive means of tracking population-level circulation of infectious agents, including viruses linked to cancer. This study provides the first Australian assessment of oncogenic viruses in municipal wastewater by screening 76 influent samples collected over four months from six wastewater treatment plants in Southeast Queensland, Australia. Ten gene targets representing seven oncogenic viruses including Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8), human papillomavirus 16 and 18 (HPV-16 and -18), human T-lymphotropic virus type 1 (HTLV-1), and Merkel cell polyomavirus (MCPyV) were analysed using PCR-based methods. All viruses were detected in wastewater at least once, though with substantial variation in frequency. MCPyV was the most frequently detected virus, appearing in 97.3% of samples with concentrations ranging from 3.09-3.85 log10 gene copies (GC)/50 mL, indicating widespread population exposure. HBV (26.3%) and EBV (15.8%) were detected intermittently across multiple catchments, while HPV-16/18, HHV-8, HTLV-1, and HCV were detected at the lowest frequencies (<8%). This study reports the first baseline dataset for oncogenic viruses in Australian wastewater. More broadly, positive detection of all targeted oncogenic viruses including those associated with low prevalence infections in wastewater demonstrates the potential of WS to complement existing cancer surveillance systems in tracking community-level circulation of these infectious agents.

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Wastewater Treatment Plants as Representative Sentinel Sites in Infectious Disease Surveillance

Fiatsonu, E.; Hill, D.; Christopher, D.; Larsen, D.

2026-08-31 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361522 medRxiv
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Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has emerged as a powerful population-level surveillance tool, but its coverage is structurally concentrated in in-network urban areas, potentially leaving rural populations underrepresented. Routine human movement between sewered (in-network) and unsewered (off-network) areas may, however, cause wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) measurements to reflect infectious disease dynamics beyond sewer boundaries. We evaluated this hypothesis using daily clinical COVID-19 testing data (January 2021-April 2022) across New York State excluding New York City (NYC). We disaggregated weekly cases and tests into in-network (WWTP catchment area) and off-network (outside WWTP catchment area) components applied to two geographic frameworks: administrative counties (N = 53 mixed-coverage) and mobility-defined communities identified through Walktrap community detection applied to census tract-level movement networks (N = 32 mixed-coverage). In/off-network COVID-19 trends were strongly correlated under both frameworks. County-level statewide aggregate correlations were high (incidence r = 0.994, positivity r = 0.996), as were individual county correlations (median r = 0.909 and 0.932, respectively). Mobility-defined community-level statewide correlations were similarly strong (r = 0.990 and 0.992), with comparable unit-level medians (r = 0.877 and 0.894). The mobility-defined community framework provided better population balance between in-network and off-network strata (87.5% vs. 69.8% in balanced range) and a higher floor on representativeness (minimum r = 0.440 vs. 0.177). Population size was the dominant predictor of in-network/off-network alignment at both scales; wastewater infrastructure density and off-network signal variability provided additional explanatory power at the mobility-defined community level. WWTPs broadly represent COVID-19 dynamics in surrounding off-network populations, supporting their use as sentinel surveillance sites. Representativeness weakens in smaller, more rural communities, and mobility-defined communities provide a complementary framework for identifying where this occurs.

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Population-based urinary pesticide biomonitoring in rural Wisconsin: Longitudinal patterns and determinants of glyphosate, AMPA, and 2,4-D, and other modern use pesticides

Schultz, A. A.; Lange, M.; Shelton, B.; Meinholz, E.; Esselman, D.; Paulsen, E.; Haban, A.; Kesner, V.; Rowe, M.; Burke, R.; Tisler, C.; Tomasallo, C.

2026-08-31 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361410 medRxiv
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Background: Population-based biomonitoring of contemporary-use pesticides remains limited in the United States, particularly in rural agricultural regions, and few studies have repeated measurements within the same individuals over time. Methods: We analyzed 28 urinary pesticide-related biomarkers among 600 adults from the population-based Survey of the Health of Wisconsin with archived urine collected during 2008-2016; 296 participants provided repeat urine and updated exposure information in 2025. Detection frequencies, co-detection, and within-person detection patterns were characterized. Generalized estimating equations were used for stacked, repeated-measures analyses of factors associated with detection of aminomethylphosphonic acid (AMPA), glyphosate, 2,4-dichlorophenoxyacetic acid (2,4-D), and any of these three. Prospective-only analyses evaluated more detailed agricultural and recent exposure measures. Results: Glyphosate, AMPA, and 2,4-D were detected in 7.7%, 6.2%, and 4.3% of retrospective specimens and 5.4%, 3.1%, and 4.1% of prospective specimens, respectively. Co-detection and persistent detection across the 9 to 17-year interval was rare. In repeated-measures models, greater fruit and vegetable intake, older age, and male sex were associated with higher 2,4-D detection. Lower household income was associated with lower AMPA detection, while afternoon/evening collection was associated with higher AMPA detection. In prospective analyses, working on field-crop agricultural land showed the strongest agricultural associations, particularly for 2,4-D and detection of any of the three pesticides. Associations were not seen with self-reported conventional versus organic produce consumption. Conclusions: Urinary pesticide detections were generally infrequent in this Wisconsin population. Diet and direct agricultural activities may be more informative exposure pathways than residing near cropland or private well drinking-water characteristics.

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EcoEnamel: Development of a Gelatin-Pectin Film for S. mutans Inhibition and Enamel Preservation in an In Vitro Model

Merle, J. A.; Javelona, G.

2026-09-01 microbiology 10.64898/2026.08.18.745620 medRxiv
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Rinsing-dependent dental hygiene presents a significant public health challenge in water-scarce environments. This study investigated combinations of xylitol (Xyl), chitosan (Chi), glycyrrhizin (Gly), epigallocatechin gallate (EGCG), dicalcium phosphate (DCP), and nano-hydroxyapatite (nHA) on the primary bacteria behind dental caries, S. mutans. These combinations were assessed for markers of dental caries by biofilm reduction, bacterial killing, and acid buffering against S. mutans when applied to an in vitro simulated enamel model using glass bead surfaces for biofilm formation, and gene expression was subsequently examined via RT-qPCR. Separately, mineral retention was also quantified. The EGCG-DCP-Xyl film demonstrated the highest overall efficacy, achieving a significant reduction in biofilm concentration compared to the untreated control and performing similarly in magnitude to the positive toothpaste control. Dead fluorescence staining confirmed that the EGCG-DCP-Xyl film induced the highest rate of non-viable cells, followed by the Chi-Gly film and the Gly-Xyl film. During 10-day pH cycling, the EGCG-DCP-Xyl and DCP-Xyl formulations buffered pH the most, consistently maintaining mean pH levels safely above the demineralization threshold of pH 5.5. The EGCG-DCP-Xyl also optimized mineral stability with the highest retained calcium concentration, significantly outperforming the Chi-Xyl film. At the transcript level, the EGCG-DCP-Xyl film induced substantial downregulation of key virulence genes, yielding decreases in expression for glucosyltransferase B (gtfB), associated with biofilm synthesis, collagen-binding protein (cnm), associated with tissue invasion, and lactate dehydrogenase (ldh), associated with lactic acid production, compared to the untreated control, with effects comparable in magnitude to the positive toothpaste control. This research suggests that targeting bacterial pathways and mineral loss through a portable film may have potential for preventing dental caries, especially in environments where water is limited. However, additional studies are necessary to evaluate real-world effectiveness.

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Benchmarking the Intratumoral Microbiome in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Longitudinal Assessment of Contamination Sources and Decontamination Strategies

Dang, L.; Eskelson, L.; Hamm, J.; Blumberg, J.; Wegener, U.; Beissbarth, T.; Ellenrieder, V.; Neesse, A.; Ammer-Herrmenau, C.

2026-08-31 cancer biology 10.64898/2026.08.24.746744 medRxiv
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Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) harbors a distinct intratumoral microbiome. Yet rigorous characterization of its composition is hampered by pervasive environmental and procedural contamination. Sources of contamination have not been thoroughly explored, and the methods of decontamination have not been sufficiently evaluated in a benchmarking manner. We systematically collected >300 negative control (NCT) samples comprising paraffin from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) samples, lysis buffer and sterile water over a period of four years processed by different laboratory persons (LP). All samples were sequenced using full-length 16S rRNA gene sequencing with Oxford-Nanopore Technologies. We benchmarked four decontamination methods (restrictive filtering, decontam, SCRuB, and the Nejman et al.-derived (Nj) pipeline) against fresh-frozen tumor samples (FF) from LSL-KrasG12D/+;LSL-Trp53R172H/+;Pdx-1-Cre (KPC) mice, using the abovementioned contamination assessment to calculate a composite score for the assessment. Further, we validated those methods via technical replicates. Microbial profiles of NCT samples were significantly determined by control type, LP, year and season reflecting complex batch effects. The 15 most abundant contaminants spanned well-characterized environmental taxa and human commensals from the oral cavity. The LP processing samples left a significant microbial trace highly contributing to the batch effect. Decontamination benchmarking demonstrated that the Nj method consistently outperformed alternatives in both composite score and inter-replicate concordance. Application of Nj to fresh frozen PDAC samples substantially reduced contaminant burden while preserving putative tumor-associated signals in FF but not FFPE samples. Our results support the adoption of the Nj decontamination approach for future intratumoral microbiome studies in fresh frozen tumor samples.

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Point-of-Care Breath Volatile Organic Compound Analysis as a Tool for Lung Cancer Screening: A Pilot Feasibility Study

Pichkar, Y.; Manolakos, S.; Phillips, K. M.; Schabath, M. B.; Chaudhary, A.

2026-08-31 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361331 medRxiv
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Background: Low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening reduces lung cancer mortality but is limited by low uptake and associated with high rates of false-positives and indeterminate-nodules. Breath volatile organic compound (VOC) analysis is a non-invasive candidate biomarker approach that could complement LDCT, but prior work has relied on laboratory-based high-resolution mass spectrometry (HRMS), limiting point-of-care deployment. Methods: In this pilot study, breath samples were collected from 40 patients with treatment-naive, pathologically confirmed non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and 25 lung-cancer-screening-eligible healthy controls. Paired samples were analyzed via a compact point-of-care GC-MS platform (CLARION) and a laboratory HRMS reference. Diagnostic classification models were built independently for each platform using elastic net logistic regression with leave-one-out cross-validation, and performance was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: CLARION identified 103 VOCs across breath specimens, compared to over 900 identified by HRMS. Despite this difference in panel size, CLARION achieved diagnostic performance nearly identical to HRMS for distinguishing NSCLC cases from controls (AUC 0.864 vs. 0.863). Compared to controls, performance statistics were similar for early-stage NSCLC (AUC 0.854 vs. 0.841) and adenocarcinoma (AUC 0.770 vs. 0.787). VOCs of interest include p-cymene, phenol, propylbenzene, tetradecane, {beta}-ocimene, 2,3-dihydro-indole, and 1-methylthio-(Z)-1-propene. Conclusion: A compact, point-of-care breath GC-MS platform achieved diagnostic performance for NSCLC detection comparable to a laboratory HRMS reference despite a substantially smaller detected VOC panel. These findings support continued development of point-of-care breath VOC testing as a non-invasive, field-deployable complement to LDCT-based lung cancer screening.

7
Rapid isothermal amplification of diatom rbcL from eDNA and eRNA reveals their abundance and photosynthetic physiology

Verret, F. G.; Hartle-Mougiou, K.; Chantzaras, C.; Peltekis, A.; Margiotta, F.; Sarno, D.; Cardini, U.; Alba, M.; Pizziol, V.; Markopoulos, I.; Papadopoulou, I.; Percopo, I.; Tramontano, F.; Maselli, M.; Novellino, A.; Psarra, S.; Montresor, M.; Mowlem, M. C.; Gizeli, E.; Valiadi, M.

2026-08-31 microbiology 10.64898/2026.08.30.748096 medRxiv
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Diatoms are major contributors to marine primary production, yet current approaches for monitoring their abundance and function rely on coarse satellite chlorophyll estimates or sparse cell count and carbon fixation measurements. Molecular markers are a promising approach for high-resolution measurement of both abundance and metabolic activity through analysis of environmental DNA (eDNA) and RNA (eRNA). We present an isothermal quantitative recombinase polymerase amplification (qRPA) assay targeting rbcL gene copies and transcripts of marine diatoms, operating at low temperature and producing results in less than 15 min. We demonstrate specificity and calibration across diverse diatom taxa, then apply the assay to eDNA and eRNA samples from the Mare Chiara Long-Term Ecological Research site in the Bay of Naples, Italy, alongside microscopy, chlorophyll, physicochemical, and carbon-fixation data. Diatom rbcL DNA tracked abundance across five orders of magnitude despite seasonal shifts in community composition. Combining molecular and optical data revealed increased cellular rbcL copies and chlorophyll in low-light winter populations, suggesting enhanced photosynthetic capacity despite lower abundance. Furthermore, rbcL RNA reflected total carbon fixation rates and identified populations with differing carbon fixation activity. These results support rapid, RPA-based rbcL quantification as a robust approach for biomolecular ocean observing.

8
GLP-1/GIP Uptake, Indication, and Access Pathways Among US Adults in the Understanding America Study

Chaturvedi, R. R.; Gracner, T.; Perez-Arce, F.; Suen, S.-c.; Jin, J.; Orriens, B.; Pacula, R. L.; Sexton Ward, A.; Haile, R.; Kapteyn, A.

2026-09-02 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361368 medRxiv
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Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.

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Social Determinants of Health in HIV/HBV Coinfection Compared with HIV and HBV Monoinfection: A Framework for Dynamic Social Vulnerability

Yendewa, G.; Chengsupanimit, T.; Dehghani, A.; Ahmed, A.; Mohareb, A.; Freeman, M.; Cohen, C.; Ofotokun, I.; Dube, K.

2026-09-02 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361856 medRxiv
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Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) coinfection is associated with accelerated liver disease, but whether coinfection is associated with newly documented social determinants of health (SDoH) is unclear. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using TriNetX across 110 U.S. healthcare organizations (2010-2026). We propensity score matched adults with HIV/HBV to adults with HIV or HBV monoinfection. We organized newly documented SDoH indicators using a dynamic individual-level framework with four clinically recognized domains of social disadvantage: material vulnerability, healthcare access and engagement, interpersonal adversity, and psychosocial vulnerability. Matched cohorts included 10,071 HIV/HBV-HIV pairs and 9,659 HIV/HBV-HBV pairs (mean age, 47 years; 79% male; 66% non-White; median follow-up, 3.3 years). Over 178,900 person-years, HIV/HBV was associated with higher risk of the primary SDoH composite compared with HIV (11.5% vs 9.7%; incidence rate, 2.50 vs 1.97 per 100 person-years; hazard ratio [HR], 1.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-1.37) and HBV (11.0% vs 6.4%; incidence rate, 2.39 vs 1.67; HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.35-1.67). HIV/HBV was also associated with higher material vulnerability and healthcare access and engagement composites in both comparisons, including housing instability, food insecurity, financial insecurity, insurance instability, and care disengagement/nonadherence (HR range, 1.22-3.33 vs HIV; 1.31-1.94 vs HBV). In the HBV comparison, HIV/HBV was additionally associated with interpersonal adversity, primary support stressors, and violence or victimization (HR range, 1.36-2.16). Findings were robust across sensitivity analyses. HIV/HBV was associated with more newly documented SDoH than monoinfection, supporting dynamic SDoH assessment.

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Evaluating Mean Platelet Volume in relation to Disease Severity in Paediatric Sickle Cell Anaemia: A Cross-Sectional Study in Kwara State, North-Central Nigeria

Oladimeji, F. D.; Adewoyin, A. D.; Oyeleke, K. O.

2026-09-02 hematology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361349 medRxiv
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Background: Sickle cell anaemia (SCA) is characterised by chronic haemolysis, inflammation, platelet activation, and recurrent vaso-occlusive complications. Mean platelet volume (MPV) is a readily available platelet index, but evidence regarding its relationship with disease severity in paediatric SCA remains limited and inconsistent, particularly in African populations. Objective: To evaluate the relationship between MPV and disease severity among children with SCA in Kwara State, North-Central Nigeria. Methods: This hospital-based cross-sectional study included 51 clinically stable children with confirmed SCA consecutively recruited from the paediatric haematology clinic of Children Emergency Specialist Hospital, Ilorin. Complete blood count, including MPV, was performed using a Rayto RT-7600 automated haematology analyser. Disease severity was assessed using a composite clinical and laboratory scoring system based on a previously described method. Pearson's correlation, Spearman's rank correlation, simple linear regression, and the Kruskal-Wallis test were used as appropriate. Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. Results: Of 51 participants, 14 (27.5%) had mild, 33 (64.7%) moderate, and 4 (7.8%) severe disease. Mean MPV was 9.34 +/- 0.76 fL (range, 8.0-11.2). Pearson's correlation showed a weak positive, non-significant linear relationship with severity score (r = 0.231, p = 0.103), whereas Spearman's analysis showed a weak positive monotonic association (rho = 0.286, p = 0.042). Regression explained 5.3% of severity-score variation (R2 = 0.053, p = 0.103). MPV did not differ significantly across severity categories (H = 2.163, p = 0.339). MPV correlated inversely with haemoglobin (r = -0.556, p < 0.001) and positively with platelet count (r = 0.307, p = 0.029). Conclusion: MPV showed a weak relationship with disease severity but inconsistent statistical evidence across analyses. The limited explained variance and absence of significant differences between severity categories do not support MPV as a standalone severity marker. Larger longitudinal studies are warranted. Keywords: Sickle cell anaemia; Mean platelet volume; Disease severity; Platelet indices; Paediatric haematology; Cross-sectional study; Nigeria.

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Are Frontier Large Language Models Safer Than Government-Backed Symptom Checkers for Clinical Self-Triage? A Standardised Vignette Evaluation

Chowdhury, A. R.; Chowdhury, B.

2026-09-02 health informatics 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361908 medRxiv
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Background: Consumer use of AI chatbots for health advice is rising, yet triage safety relative to established services remains unclear. Australia's Healthdirect, a government-backed symptom checker with 2.4 million uses in FY2024-25, remains unevaluated against frontier large language models (LLMs), and whether premium subscriptions improve triage safety remains unexplored. This study compared the triage accuracy and safety of Healthdirect against six LLM configurations across ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, assessed whether paid subscriptions improve triage safety, and characterised each system's error patterns. Methods: Forty-five clinical vignettes from the Semigran et al. benchmark spanning emergency, non-emergent, and self-care categories (15 each) were evaluated across seven systems. Healthdirect was tested following a seven-rule interaction protocol. LLMs were evaluated using first-person patient-language prompts under free-tier and paid-tier conditions. Outcomes were triage accuracy, emergency sensitivity, under-triage, and critical misses, analysed using Cochran's Q, Bonferroni-corrected McNemar tests, Cohen's kappa, and Wilson intervals. Findings: Triage accuracy differed significantly (Cochran's Q = 36.79, p < 0.001). Healthdirect achieved 48.9% accuracy (95% CI 35.0% to 63.0%; kappa = 0.233) versus 73.3% to 86.7% for LLMs (kappa = 0.600 to 0.800). Healthdirect operated under conservative interactive defaults while LLMs received complete information in a single prompt, which may have disadvantaged Healthdirect. Emergency sensitivity was 46.7% versus 80.0% to 86.7% for LLMs. Healthdirect produced two critical misses; no LLM produced any across 270 evaluations (95% CI 0% to 1.4%). When LLMs undertriaged, they recommended GP care rather than self-care. No tier differences were significant (all p > 0.05), and most systems over-triaged self-care cases. Interpretation: Frontier LLMs demonstrated higher triage accuracy and safer error profiles than Healthdirect. All LLMs avoided critical misses; Healthdirect did not. Premium subscriptions did not significantly improve triage safety. These findings support clinical governance decisions about whether LLMs warrant formal evaluation alongside government-backed symptom checkers.

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ECG-based longitudinal risk prediction across diseases and organ systems

ye, y.; Zeng, Z.; Tian, X.; Yuan, Z.; Wang, J.; Zhu, Y.

2026-09-02 health informatics 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361697 medRxiv
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Artificial intelligence applied to routine electrocardiograms (ECGs) has largely focused on detecting existing disease or predicting individual cardiovascular outcomes. Whether ECGs can support prediction of multiple future diseases across organ systems remains unclear. We developed ECG-RISK, a multitask survival model for 67 incident three-character ICD-10 endpoints using ECG waveforms, demographic characteristics and routinely collected laboratory data from 86,673 MIMIC-IV patients. Discrimination was highest for heart, brain, kidney and lung endpoints, with organ-level C-indices ranging from 0.796 to 0.825, whereas liver and pancreatic endpoints showed lower discrimination. The ECG-only model achieved strong discrimination across most endpoints, whereas the incremental improvement gained by incorporating ECG and laboratory inputs beyond demographic information varied substantially across endpoints. Across the nine exploratory aggregated outcomes, Kaplan Meier curves showed clear separation among model-score tertiles. Discrimination was highest for dementia (C-index, 0.891) and heart failure (C-index, 0.857). These findings support the feasibility of ECG-based longitudinal risk prediction across multiple diseases. External validation and competing-risk analyses are required to assess generalisability and clinical utility.

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Certified large language model-based diagnostic decision support in rheumatology: the ALLIANCE multicentre randomised controlled trial

Kremer, P.; Schlicker, N.; Hasnaj, R.; Bamberger, J.; Witte, T.; Haase, I.; Mayr, A.; Schmidt, C.; Osteras, N.; Baraliakos, X.; Kuhn, S.; Krusche, M.; Knitza, J.

2026-09-02 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361715 medRxiv
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Objectives To evaluate whether access to a certified large language model (LLM)-based clinical decision support system improves physician diagnostic performance in rheumatology compared with conventional diagnostic resources alone. Methods In this multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial, 82 physicians from seven hospitals in two countries were randomised 1:1 to conventional diagnostic resources plus Prof. Valmed or conventional resources alone. Participants assessed three rheumatology vignettes before and after assistance. The primary outcome was top-1 diagnostic accuracy. Secondary outcomes included top-3 accuracy, diagnostic reasoning, confidence, case-processing time and perceived support quality. Results Top-1 accuracy increased from 22.2% to 33.3% in the intervention group and from 23.3% to 35.0% in the control group, with no between-group difference in improvement (adjusted OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.45 to 2.19; p=0.979). Differences in top-3 accuracy, diagnostic reasoning and confidence were also not significant. Assisted case-processing time was substantially shorter with LLM support (94 vs 206 s; adjusted mean difference -112 s, 95% CI -141 to -83; p<0.001). Information timeliness and perceived diagnostic support quality were rated significantly higher in the intervention group. Exploratory analyses showed persistent overconfidence and substantial AI over-reliance. Conclusions Certified LLM-based diagnostic support did not improve diagnostic accuracy compared with conventional resources, but substantially reduced case-processing time and improved perceived support quality. These findings suggest potential workflow benefits while highlighting overconfidence and over-reliance as important safety considerations.

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Optimizing Aqueous Humor Liquid Biopsy: Safety and Performance of a Short, Low-Dead-Space Ophthalmic Needle for Anterior Chamber Paracentesis

Singh, A. M.; Yeh, T.-C.; DeBoer, C.; Al-Moujahed, A.; Lin, J. B.; Smith, S. J.; Sanislo, S.; Janjua, K. A.; Lin, T.-C.; Almeida, D. R. P.; Mruthyunjaya, P.; Mahajan, V. B.

2026-09-02 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361364 medRxiv
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Purpose: To evaluate the safety, procedural performance, sample recovery, and surgeon preference of an ophthalmic needle designed specifically for anterior chamber (AC) paracentesis. Methods: In this multicenter study, AC paracentesis was performed in clinic and operating-room settings using a 32-gauge x 4-mm needle with low dead space. The procedure was evaluated using a standardized physician survey. Prespecified outcomes included procedure-related adverse events (primary outcome), needle entry and handling, aspiration and sample recovery, comparative performance versus a 30-gauge needle, and physician preference for future use. Results: A total of 110 needle uses by eight surgeons were included. No ocular complications occurred, including lens or iris injury, hyphema, AC collapse, wound leak, hypotony, infection, or retinal complication, and no procedure required needle exchange or conversion to another device. Two technical events without ocular sequelae were noted, in which needle entry was partial thickness and did not reach the AC (1.8%; exact 95% CI, 0.2%-6.4%). Physicians rated needle entry, handling and sample recovery as good or excellent. Compared with a 30-gauge needle, the study needle was rated as at least comparable across all assessed domains. All surgeons rated it better or much better for intra-procedural safety and preferred it for future AC taps. Conclusions and Relevance: This short, 32-gauge low-dead-space ophthalmic needle demonstrated a favorable safety profile and was preferred over a 30-gauge needle by all surgeons. As aqueous humor liquid biopsy expands in clinical diagnostics and trials, an ophthalmic-specific needle design may help improve the consistency and safety of aqueous humor collection for molecular analysis and broader clinical use. Keywords: Anterior chamber paracentesis; Aqueous humor; Liquid biopsy; Low dead space; Ophthalmic needle

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Evaluation of the Efficacy and Safety of Combination Therapy of Vamha and Myrha in the Management of PMOS: An Open-Label, Randomized, Multicentre, Comparative, Prospective Clinical Study

Patil, A.; Barathe, R.; Tate, D. M.; Kate, K.; Pande, S.; Gawande, N.; More, A.; Mahadik, S.; Berde, K.; Singhvi, R.

2026-09-02 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.08.20.26360875 medRxiv
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Introduction: Polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome (PMOS), formerly known as polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), is a common endocrine disorder affecting women of reproductive age. Besides reproductive and metabolic disturbances, PMOS negatively impacts psychological well-being and quality of life. Despite available treatment options, there remains a need for safe and effective therapies that improve both clinical symptoms and fertility outcomes. Aim: To compare the efficacy of VAMHA and MYRHA tablet combination therapy with standard non-hormonal therapy in restoring regular menstruation. Secondary objectives included assessment of ovulation, menstrual symptoms, polycystic ovarian morphology, hormonal and metabolic parameters, anthropometric measures, and skin manifestations. Study Design: Open-label, randomized, multicentre, prospective comparative clinical study. Methods: Seventy-one women with PMOS were randomized to Group A (n=37) or Group B (n=34). Group A received VAMHA and MYRHA tablets (2 tablets each), while Group B received Metformin 500 mg plus Myoinositol 600 mg (1 tablet), twice daily for 180 days. Data were recorded in Case Report Forms. Statistical Analysis: Continuous variables were summarized using mean and standard deviation, while categorical variables were expressed as frequencies and percentages. Appropriate statistical tests, including Chi-square, were used. A p-value [&le;]0.05 was considered significant. Results: Significantly more participants in Group A achieved regular menstrual cycles than Group B (31 vs. 22; p<0.05). Ovulation occurred in 16 participants in Group A compared with 6 in Group B (p<0.05). Both groups showed significant improvement in menstrual irregularity and related symptoms. Significant reductions in Anti-Mullerian Hormone (AMH), fasting insulin, and body mass index (BMI) were observed in both groups (p<0.05). Resolution of polycystic ovarian morphology occurred in 13 participants (38.23%) in Group A and 10 (33.33%) in Group B. Both treatments were well tolerated with no major safety concerns. Conclusions: VAMHA and MYRHA combination therapy was superior to standard non-hormonal therapy in improving menstrual regularity and ovulation. It also produced favourable metabolic, hormonal, and ultrasonographic outcomes, suggesting its potential as a safe and effective option for comprehensive PMOS management and fertility enhancement.

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Burden of fatigue in compensated chronic liver disease: findings from the multinational a:GAP Study

Choudhuri, G.; Akhundova-Unadkat, G.; Naidoo, N.; Morales-Castillo, M.; Guillaume, X.; Duijnhoven, R. G.; Safaei, A.; Swain, M. G.

2026-09-02 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361618 medRxiv
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Background & Aims: Fatigue is a central symptom of chronic liver disease (CLD), substantially impacting health-related quality of life (HRQoL). This study aimed to further understand CLD symptomatology, including fatigue, and its impact on HRQoL from a patient perspective. Methods: Abbott Global Assessment of Patients unmet needs (aGAP) was a multinational, cross-sectional survey in adults with compensated CLD in China, India and Mexico, conducted between July and November 2024. Adult participants who self-reported that they had physician-diagnosed CLD and were experiencing fatigue completed a quantitative survey to assess symptom burden and included three HRQoL patient-reported outcome (PRO) questionnaires (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS]-29+2, Work Productivity and Activity Impairment - Specific Health Problem version 2.0 [WPAI: SHP], Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory [MFI]). Results: Overall, 505 participants (China: 200; Mexico: 105; India: 200) completed the study. Participants reported that their CLD-related fatigue sometimes, often or always affected their self-esteem/confidence (45.1%) and ability to maintain or acquire new employment (38.6%). Most participants reported moderate (51.3%) or serious (26.9%) fatigue, with 33.5% experiencing fatigue every day or almost every day. Many participants felt their social life was negatively impacted by their fatigue (47.3%) and that there were related financial difficulties (53.9%). Use of validated PRO tools demonstrated severe fatigue (MFI: overall mean [SD] 13.9 [3.4] general fatigue and 13.4 [3.6] physical fatigue) as well as substantial levels of work and activity impairment (WPAI: SHP overall mean [SD] 53.0 [26.4]) and high levels of anxiety, pain interference, depression and sleep interference (PROMIS T-scores [&ge;]54). Conclusions: Fatigue has a substantial impact on HRQoL among adults with CLD across several countries, highlighting a global unmet need for targeted interventions to effectively identify and manage the condition.

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3D ultrasound fascicle tractography for objective muscle architecture analysis.

Tecchio, P.; Schlaffke, L.; Bolsterlee, B.; Hahn, D.; Raiteri, B. J.

2026-09-01 bioengineering 10.64898/2026.08.31.746736 medRxiv
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Muscle architecture shapes muscle function and changes with age, growth, training and disease, yet quantifying three-dimensional (3D) muscle architecture in vivo remains challenging. We introduce a hybrid fascicle tractography approach for freehand 3D ultrasound data that accurately reconstructs 3D muscle fascicles with respect to an objective, anatomically relevant coordinate system defined by the muscle's central aponeurosis. The hybrid approach combines Hessian-based fascicle detection with wavelet-based refinement to generate volumetric fascicle orientations. In a synthetic dataset with known ground truth, fascicle orientations and lengths were estimated with errors of [&le;]2{degrees} and ~1.5%, respectively. In vivo, the approach detected physiologically plausible fascicle lengthening in the human tibialis anterior following a passive plantar flexion rotation, whereas diffusion tensor imaging of the same muscle did not. The proposed method enables anatomically relevant, objective and non-invasive quantification of 3D muscle architecture in vivo, providing a practical framework for applications in clinical and applied muscle physiology.

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An interpretable, formally verified point-of-care ultrasound risk equation for difficult videolaryngoscopy: development and internal validation

Oyarzun-Silva, R. A.; Hernandez-Hernandez, P.; Fernandez-Vaquero, M. A.; De Luis-Cabezon, N.

2026-09-02 anesthesia 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361621 medRxiv
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Background. Videolaryngoscopy still requires adjuncts or hyperangulated rescue in a clinically important minority, and bedside screening discriminates modestly. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) of the anterior airway is a promising alternative, but existing prediction models are opaque or assume a pre-specified functional form. We developed and internally validated a parsimonious, fully disclosed POCUS risk equation whose form is recovered from data and whose structural properties are machine-checked by formal proof - to our knowledge the first formally verified clinical risk predictor - following TRIPOD+AI 2024. Methods. In a prospective single-centre, single-operator cohort of 259 adults undergoing elective videolaryngoscopy (no-Easy airway 68/259, 26.3%), Sequentially Thresholded Least Squares with bootstrap stability selection (B=300) screened a 71-term library of nine POCUS features and retained a seven-term logistic equation; a two-term bootstrap-stable model was pre-specified as robustness analysis. Internal validation used 5x10 repeated cross-validation plus temporal and device hold-outs, with pre-specified overfitting and optimism assessments. Five behavioural properties of the deployed equation were machine-checked in Lean 4. Results. Two interactions met the |c|/sigma_c>2 stability criterion: skin-to-epiglottis x skin-to-hyoid-bone distance and tongue volume x sagittal tongue area. The seven-term equation reached a 5x10 cross-validated C-statistic of 0.966 (optimism-corrected 0.968) and held across temporal and device hold-outs (0.94-0.97). Calibration-in-the-large matched prevalence, with cross-validated slope 0.90 attenuating to 0.625 out-of-time; standard recalibration restored 0.92 without loss of discrimination. The pre-specified two-term robustness model reproduced this performance (C-statistic 0.964-0.968; events-per-parameter 34; shrinkage 0.99), confirming the result is not an artefact of the screening stage. Net benefit over a clinical baseline was positive across 10-50% thresholds. All five Lean 4 theorems compiled without sorry. Conclusions. A sparse, formally verified POCUS equation predicts difficult videolaryngoscopy with high internally validated discrimination and quantified, modest overfitting. Because the equation was developed in a single-operator cohort and its inputs are operator-dependent, external validation requires prior harmonisation of the measurement protocol and operator credentialing.

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Glaucoma and Diabetes Mellitus: A Comparative Evaluation of Comorbid Effect on Tear Quantity among Patients in Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria.

Chukwuoha, C. M.; Ovenseri-Ogbomo, G.; Azuamah, Y. C.; Odimegwu, N. E.; Obioma-Elemba, J. E.; Ugwoke, G.; Nkeremuzor, E. C.; Eronini, Y.; Ikoro, N. C.; Esenwah, E. C.

2026-09-02 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361782 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective: Glaucoma is a chronic disorder that impairs ocular health and may exacerbate ocular surface disease leading to tear film instability, dry eye symptoms and decreased quality of life. This study compared changes in tear quantity among glaucoma subjects living with and without diabetes mellitus, attending an eye clinic in Nigeria. Methods: A comparative cross sectional research design was used. 157 subjects which comprised 74 glaucoma subjects living with diabetes mellitus and 83 glaucoma subjects living without diabetes mellitus participated in the study. Tear quantity assessment included the Schirmer I test and tear meniscus height (TMH) measurement. Descriptive statistics, independent samples t-test and Chi-square test were used to examine the data at 0.05 level of significance. Results: Glaucoma subjects living with diabetes mellitus showed substantially decreased tear production (11.4 +/- 6.8 mm) compared with glaucoma subjects living without diabetes mellitus (19.6 +/- 9.6 mm; p < 0.001). Tear meniscus height in glaucoma subjects living with diabetes mellitus (0.8 +/- 0.3 mm) was significantly greater than in subjects living without diabetes mellitus (0.7 +/- 0.3 mm; p = 0.034). Conclusion: Diabetes mellitus dramatically deteriorates the ocular surface function in glaucoma subjects by decreasing tear production, altering the tear meniscus height and increasing the severity of ocular surface symptoms. Routine glaucoma care, especially in patients with diabetes mellitus, should include a full ocular surface evaluation including Schirmer I test, TBUT, TMH, and OSDI assessment to allow early detection and management of ocular surface disease, better treatment adherence, and improved visual outcomes. Keywords: Glaucoma, Diabetes Mellitus, Tear production, Tear Meniscus Height, Ocular Surface Disease.

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Non-inferior survival and enhanced longevity with initial low-dose versus full-dose enzalutamide: a single-centre real-world prostate cancer study

Gorobets, O.; Vinh-Hung, V.

2026-09-02 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361616 medRxiv
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Background: Prostate cancer enzalutamide treatment is approved at a standard dose of 160 mg daily. Concerns for real-world patients -- older and more fragile than those enrolled in clinical trials -- have prompted consideration of initiating treatment with lower doses, but the long-term efficacy of this approach remains unknown. We evaluate the long-term survival and longevity in patients treated with standard versus upfront low-dose enzalutamide. Methods: Retrospective analysis of 151 patients treated with enzalutamide (102 receiving 160 mg; 49 receiving [&le;]80 mg) between 2014--2021 at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Martinique, with complete follow-up through end of life (98.7% completeness of follow-up). Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and longevity (attained age). Results: Doses [&le;]80 mg were associated with longer median OS (36.3 vs. 20.7 months), improved restricted mean OS (difference of 0.7 years, p=0.05), and enhanced longevity (median 82.5 vs. 78.3 years, p=0.004). PSA response rate at 12 weeks was higher with lower-dose (71.4% vs. 48.8%, p=0.016). In multivariable models adjusted for prognostic factors, [&le;]40 mg compared with 160 mg was non-inferior regarding OS (HR=0.61, 95% CI 0.36--1.06), superior regarding PFS (HR=0.59, 95% CI 0.35--0.99), and superior regarding longevity (HR=0.48, 95% CI 0.28--0.84). Bone metastasis, poor performance status, PSA response, time to PSA nadir, and disease duration were independent predictors of outcomes. A post-hoc analysis revealed a strong association between dose and physician-prescribing profiles, ranging from "endorse-lowest-dose" to "never-deviate-from-full-dose". Conclusions: Lower doses of enzalutamide were non-inferior to full-dose. Dose-adapted strategies warrant further investigation.